Payback period of a home battery in 2027

With net metering ending, a home battery becomes more attractive in the Netherlands. But how quickly does it really pay for itself? We ran the numbers for different households and show which factors make the difference.

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Short answer

From 2027 the payback period of a fixed home battery in the Netherlands is usually between 10 and well over 15 years. An average household with solar panels saves about €242 a year with 5 kWh and just fails to earn back a €3,500 battery within 15 years. A family with more consumption and more panels gets to about 13.3 years. Getting below 10 years mainly takes a cheap battery.

What is the payback period per household?

The table shows five typical households on a fixed or variable contract: electricity at €0.30 per kWh and €0.035 net per kWh fed into the grid. The battery loses 2% of its capacity a year and lasts 15 years.

Calculated with the calculator on this site, without net metering.
HouseholdBatterySaving per yearPayback period
Small household 2,000 kWh use · 2,100 kWh solar 2.5 kWh · €2,500 €126 more than 15 years
Average household 3,500 kWh use · 3,500 kWh solar 5 kWh · €3,500 €242 more than 15 years
Family 4,500 kWh use · 5,250 kWh solar 7.5 kWh · €4,500 €358 13.3 years
Heat pump and electric car 8,500 kWh use · 6,000 kWh solar 10 kWh · €5,500 €444 13.4 years
Many solar panels 3,500 kWh use · 6,000 kWh solar 7.5 kWh · €4,500 €337 14.0 years

The pattern is clear: the more solar power you have left over and the more you use in the evening and at night, the more a battery has to do. A small household does not fill and empty a battery often enough to earn back the fixed costs of inverter and installation.

Which factors determine the payback period?

Below we change one thing at a time for the average household, so you can see what matters and what does not.

Average household: 3,500 kWh consumption, 3,500 kWh solar power, 5 kWh battery.
SituationSaving per yearPayback periodResult after lifetime
Purchase price of the battery (5 kWh)
€2,000 €242 8.7 years €1,349
€2,500 €242 11.0 years €849
€3,000 €242 13.3 years €349
€3,500 default €242 more than 15 years -€151
Electricity price per kWh
€0.25 €195 more than 15 years -€802
€0.30 default €242 more than 15 years -€151
€0.35 €288 13.0 years €500
€0.40 €335 11.1 years €1,151
Net feed-in compensation per kWh
€0.005 €276 13.6 years €327
€0.035 default €242 more than 15 years -€151
€0.07 €202 more than 15 years -€709
At home during the day
Mostly out €256 14.9 years €23
It varies default €242 more than 15 years -€151
Often home €225 more than 15 years -€353
Change in the electricity price per year
-2% €242 more than 15 years -€570
0% default €242 more than 15 years -€151
+2% €242 13.7 years €346
+4% €242 12.3 years €937
  • The purchase price matters most. At €2,000 instead of €3,500 the same battery pays for itself in 8.7 years. Up to about €2,300 you stay within 10 years.
  • The electricity price counts directly. Every kWh from the battery saves you the price of grid electricity. Five cents more or less makes a difference of about €47 a year.
  • A lower feed-in compensation helps the battery. The less you get for exported electricity, the more storing it earns. After 2030 the legal minimum for that compensation lapses.
  • Being at home during the day and the price trend shift the outcome by a year or two.

Why ten years is an important threshold

Most manufacturers give a 10-year warranty, or about 6,000 charge cycles. If the battery pays for itself within that period, you run little risk. If it takes longer, you are counting on years in which a failed battery or inverter is at your own expense. That is why the calculator calls a payback period of up to 10 years "probably worth it" and anything above it borderline.

Can you calculate the payback period yourself?

The quick sum is the purchase price divided by the yearly saving. For our average household that is €3,500 ÷ €242 = 14.5 years. That sum is too optimistic, because a battery loses capacity every year. With 2% loss a year the battery has still not paid for itself after 15 years. The hard part is the saving itself: it depends on how much electricity the battery really shifts in a year, and that only follows from an hourly simulation.

What do independent sources say?

Milieu Centraal, the Dutch public information organisation, concluded in autumn 2026 that a home battery will most likely not pay for itself through savings on your electricity bill alone. Research firm CE Delft, working for homeowners' association Vereniging Eigen Huis, found payback periods ranging from just over 6 to 22 years. Our results fit that picture: favourable with a low purchase price and a lot of exported solar power, unfavourable for a small household or an expensive installation. Sellers often count on income from electricity trading that is not guaranteed.

Calculate your own payback period or read what a home battery may cost.

Sources

  1. Milieu Centraal, Home battery for solar power (in Dutch). Independent assessment of home batteries and the rule of thumb that households use about 30% of their solar power directly.
  2. CE Delft, voor Vereniging Eigen Huis, Study of home battery payback times (in Dutch). Self-consumption rises to 60–70% with a battery; payback times range from just over 6 to 22 years.
  3. Rijksoverheid, Net metering ends in 2027 (in Dutch). End of net metering on 1 January 2027 and the minimum feed-in compensation of 50% of the bare supply rate until 2030.
  4. Energievergelijk.nl, Net feed-in compensation per supplier from 1 January 2027 (in Dutch). Net compensation (compensation minus feed-in costs) at large suppliers: roughly 3 to 4 cents per kWh, autumn 2026.